Laura Rozen muses:
I know some see this election as representing the shift into a new era of Democratic ascendance. My own unacademic sense is that the right won’t be out of power very long, that human nature itself will make an opposition party viable sooner than many think. The economy will hopefully recover in a year or two. The people who think gov’t should do less and more will still be here. The people who respond to demagoguery of various sorts will still be here. The people who want less immigration, etc. But the Republicans look to be having a very bad election this time and why I think there’s likely to be more of a psychic tipping point this moment for conservatives is because they’ve had power now for a while and it’s very hard to face the prospect of giving that up. Especially when there seems to be a big element of fear on their part too that some of the right exercised their power so divisively, and there could be a kind of retribution against them. At the end of the Clinton era, and I was largely out of the country during those years and was not paying close attention, but I don’t remember Democrats being afraid for political revenge from the Republicans when the White House changed hands. But there seems to be an element now on the right of essentially fear, fear for themselves masquerading as anti-Obama hysteria, that thinks maybe they went too far when they had power and it’s going to be awful if and when they don’t. I mean, really, read some of [The Cornhole], and there’s truly an hysterical quality to some of the stuff.
I don’t know about “divisively” – “illegally” and “immorally” are two categories we’ll need to work through before we come to the key issue of salving partisan butthurt. And I have no doubt that the very same people who are working feverishly to prove that Wavy Gravy once changed the infant Obama’s nappies will soon be telling us that the Bush administration is “old news” and why would you want to dredge that up again? But there’s certainly a Shadow over Wingnuttia these days. What can it portend?
Rozen is right when she says that the Republicans will rise again, and sooner rather than later. The “winner-take-all” format of American elections basically ensures a two-party system at the national level, and it takes more than one election to break up the partisan structure. The unspoken assumption, however – that the ideological configuration of the parties will remain unchanged – is not correct, I think, and it’s this consideration which concerns the wingnuts, and is causing them to break out the old Vince-Foster-wuz-murdered-by-black-helicopters playbook.
Now, ascribing any coherent “ideology” to the douchebags who run The Cornhole is hard, as they have shown tremendous flexibility when it comes to cheerleading powerful Republicans and booing their enemies. But these are just courtiers, and their job is not to think, it is to praise Master to the yahoos, so Master doesn’t have to do it himself. Dick Cheney has ideology; Tom DeLay had an ideology; George W. Bush – if he’s still alive – has an ideology; the power brokers of the religious Right have an ideology. This ideology was given free expression during the Bush years, and it has failed catastrophically, leading to the current Republican crisis. Whoever leads the Republican party in the post-Bush era will have an ideology, too, and it will probably have to be one which repudiates the Bush-Republican ideology – if only for the sake of political expediency.
If you have made a good living praising Bushism – and if you have no marketable skills aside from being able to identify different brands of shoe polish by taste and knowing every synonym for “traitor” – this could be very, bad news. You may think that people who pull a steady paycheck cranking out propaganda are immune to the economic uncertainty felt by people with real jobs these days, but I’m sure they feel it too, if for slightly different reasons. Jumping overboard now might land you a position somewhere, but it requires abandoning everything you’ve worked for and exposes you to the other end of the puke funnel. Hanging tough may be a safer bet, but there are countless examples of wingnuts who couldn’t change with the time, and now have to scrape by at less prestigious publications. *Shudder* The stakes being what they are, it makes sense to try to pre-emptively declare the coming judgment invalid, while telling yourself soothing stories from the Big Book of Bircher Fairy Tales, now in its billionth printing.
October 15, 2008 at 10:17 am
I’m holding out hope for the rise of a decent-ish right. Or at least for that decent-ish right to have more of a voice in the GOP.
I’m not betting on it. Just holding out hope, which is cheaper.
October 15, 2008 at 10:54 am
Yeah. The Republicans could even become the “left” party, if the constituent parts reconfigure in the right way. Demographic changes are making the white nativist yahoo constituency – reliably Democratic until the 60′s – less important. Economic populism might drive away the money people, but most of them already left due to rank incompetence, so there’s not much to lose. Weirder stuff happens.
Or, they could go wingnuttier. I won’t worry about it. Hope is cheap, but joy in others’ suffering PAYS YOU! In these tough economic times, the choice is clear, my friends.
October 15, 2008 at 11:03 am
Should we be forming Vacation Bible School camps for the duration of the coming Socialist Armageddon? -complete with slotted windows and rifle perimeters? And fireproof. Must not forget fireproof. Very important that one.
October 15, 2008 at 11:56 am
There’s another part of it, tho.
Anyone rememebr the Sopranos episode where Carmela is sleeping with the douchy guidance counselor and priest tells her it’s a terrible sin? She goes home, looks thoughtfully at a picture of Tony and AJ … and then goes and gets a gun and puts it under her pillow. It was a perfect little illustration of a basic human tendency, which is to tranfsom feelings of guilt toward someone into fear of that person.
Or like in that little Brecht play, where the caravan master lost in the desert tells his servant to give him the last of the water, and then kills the servant when he offers it because he thought he was reaching for a knife. The court — in the play — finds the master innocent because it would only have been rational for the servant to have wanted to kill him.
Same deal with the Right — they’re afraid of revenge because on some level they know they’ve got it coming.
October 15, 2008 at 12:00 pm
Hope is cheap, but joy in others’ suffering PAYS YOU! In these tough economic times, the choice is clear, my friends.
Word to all your momses.
Right now I’m rolling around naked on a bed strewn with million dollar bills tossing the paper in the air with reckless abandon wondering when the hookers are going to get here with my powder. Metaphorically speaking.
But then, we at the ‘Tute know how to get our schadenfraude-on bitchez…
October 15, 2008 at 12:09 pm
LP, this passage from a recent George Packer article neatly illustrates that guilt-to-fear linkage:
“Barack’s father was from where? Kenya?” a seventy-one-year-old woman named Karla Cominsky suddenly asked. “Would that be any part of the world that was part of slavery?”
Gwinn explained that Obama had grown up mainly in Hawaii.
“My great-great-grandfather and grandmother came here from Morgan County,” Cominsky continued. “And guess who they brought with them? A little slave girl named Dinah. She was buried in the family plot. They felt she was one of the family.”
A campaign intern from Ohio University, in the nearby town of Athens, explained, “Most slaves came from western Africa, where the ships could just take them and go. Kenya’s from the eastern part.”
There was an awkward silence: the point of the woman’s story had not been immediately clear. Afterward, it occurred to me that this was how people in towns like Glouster were accustoming themselves to the thought of a black President.
Patrick himself feared that Obama’s race would threaten his own security and well-being. He said that it would be only natural for a black President to avenge the historical wrongs that his people had suffered at the hands of whites. “I really don’t want an African-American as President,” he said. “I think he would put too many minorities in positions over the white race. That’s my opinion.”
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2008/10/13/081013fa_fact_packer?currentPage=1
October 15, 2008 at 12:28 pm
“Anyone rememebr the Sopranos episode where Carmela is sleeping with the douchy guidance counselor and priest tells her it’s a terrible sin? She goes home, looks thoughtfully at a picture of Tony and AJ … and then goes and gets a gun and puts it under her pillow. It was a perfect little illustration of a basic human tendency, which is to tranfsom feelings of guilt toward someone into fear of that person.”
LP: er, except one of the points of that episode was that it was one of Carmela’s fleeting moments of clarity and non-self-delusion about Tony’s nature: he really was likely to kill her if he decided he’d been wronged (without ever considering his own affairs to be germane), and she was entirely justified in her fear of him.
Of course, the metaphor works that way too, since nativist groups organized with a “stab in the back” narrative are quite authentically dangerous. (Key word here being organized: so far I don’t think we’ve seen much actual organizing. Yet.)
October 15, 2008 at 1:14 pm
Yeah, the Packer article rocked hard.
Doc Memory-
Sure, but Carmela clearly did feel guilty, even if Tony was a psychopath. Anyway, I’m not trying to draw an exact analogy, just pointing to one little facet.
October 16, 2008 at 2:32 pm
…Whoever leads the Republican party in the post-Bush era will have an ideology, too, and it will probably have to be one which repudiates the Bush-Republican ideology – if only for the sake of political expediency.
Absolutely not. The “political expediency” part will require the new Republican leadership to put out a lot of lip service for a new bag full of ideas which the party will use and swap and discard as convenient, but none of these new ideas will have any relation to their actual ideology, they are just talk-talk to fool their voting base of low-information voters and spiteful bigoted creeps.
You can accuse the Republicans of a lot of bad behavior but you can not accuse these guys of flip-flopping on their basic political goal. The Reagan-Republican ideology was “tax cuts for millionaires” and the Bush-Republican ideology was “tax cuts for millionaires” and the McCain-Republican ideology is “tax cuts for millionaires” and I guarantee you that whoever ends up in charge of that bunch in the years to come will inevitably uphold the Whoever-Republican ideology which will be “tax cuts for millionaires.”